AN OPTIMAL CONTROL TOOL FOR COVID-19
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See also the mirror site: J. Frédéric Bonnans page.
Aim of the project
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Provide a flexible, user-friendly tool for the optimal control of an epidemic.
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Design of the model adapted to the COVID-19.
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Software based on the
Bocop optimal control toolbox.
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Project started on March 20, 2020; this version 1 published on
April 30, 2020.
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As always, the value of the output depends in a critical way of the
quality of data.
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So, we expect that future versions could produce more accurate
results, thanks to a more complete data set.
Main features
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Two types of infected populations: non hospitalized and hospitalized ones.
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In both cases, infection age allowing to take into account incubation and infections phases.
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Control: confinement coefficient. Possibility of limitation of
confinement duration.
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Cost function: combination of confinement duration,
hospital peak and death toll.
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Data and References
THREE ILLUSTRATIONS
Case 1: no confinement
- Case 2: quasi periodic behavior
- Case 1: long term behavior
