AN OPTIMAL CONTROL TOOL FOR COVID-19
See also the mirror site: J. Frédéric Bonnans page.
Aim of the project
Provide a flexible, user-friendly tool for the optimal control of an epidemic.
Design of the model adapted to the COVID-19.
Software based on the
Bocop optimal control toolbox.
Project started on March 20, 2020; this version 1 published on
April 30, 2020.
As always, the value of the output depends in a critical way of the
quality of data.
So, we expect that future versions could produce more accurate
results, thanks to a more complete data set.
Two types of infected populations: non hospitalized and hospitalized ones.
In both cases, infection age allowing to take into account incubation and infections phases.
Control: confinement coefficient. Possibility of limitation of
Cost function: combination of confinement duration,
hospital peak and death toll.
Data and References
Case 1: no confinement
- Case 2: quasi periodic behavior
- Case 1: long term behavior